Kay Suselj

and 6 more

As a marine Carbon Dioxide Removal (mCDR) approach, Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement (OAE) is emerging as a viable method for removing anthropogenic CO2 emissions from the atmosphere to mitigate climate change. To achieve substantial carbon reduction using this method, OAE would need to be widespread and scaled-up across the global ocean. However, the efficiency of OAE varies substantially across a range of space-time scales and as such field deployments must be carefully planned to maximize efficiency and minimize logistical costs and risks. Here we develop a mCDR efficiency framework based on the data-assimilative ECCO-Darwin ocean biogeochemistry model, which examines two key factors over seasonal to multi-decadal timescales: 1) mCDR potential, which quantifies the CO2 solubility of the upper ocean; and 2) dynamical mCDR efficiency, representing the full-depth impact of ocean advection, mixing, and air-sea CO2 exchange. To isolate and quantify the factors that determine dynamical efficiency, we develop a reduced complexity 1-D model, rapid-mCDR, as a computationally-efficient tool for evaluation of mCDR efficiency. Combining the rapid-mCDR model with ECCO-Darwin allows for rapid characterization of OAE efficiency at any location globally. This research contributes to our understanding and optimization of OAE deployments (i.e., deploying experiments in the real-world ocean) as an effective mCDR strategy and elucidates the regional differences and mechanistic processes that impact mCDR efficiency. The modeling tools developed in this study can be readily employed by research teams and industry to plan and complement future field deployments and provide essential Monitoring, Reporting, and Verification (MRV).

Nima Madani

and 10 more

Phytoplankton primary production is a crucial component of Arctic Ocean (AO) biogeochemistry, playing a pivotal role in the carbon cycling by supporting higher trophic levels and removing atmospheric carbon dioxide. The advent of satellite observations measuring chlorophyll a concentration (Chl_ a) has yielded unprecedented insights into the distribution of AO phytoplankton, enhancing our ability to assess oceanic productivity. However, the optical properties of AO waters differ significantly from those of lower‐latitude waters, and standard Chl_a algorithms perform poorly in the AO. In particular, Chl_a retrievals are challenged by interferences from other marine constituents including higher pigment packaging and higher proportion of light absorption by colored dissolved organic matter. To derive phytoplankton-originating signature as well as mitigate those effects, solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) emerges as a valuable tool for acquiring physiological insights into the direct photosynthetic processes in the AO. In this study, we leverage satellite-based SIF measurements to assess their correlation with a set of predictive factors influencing phytoplankton photosynthesis. We extend the temporal coverage of AO SIF data to cover the period 2004 - 2020. This novel dataset offers a pathway to monitor the physiological interactions of phytoplankton with changes in climate, promising to significantly improve our understanding of the Arctic water’s productivity. The application of this data is expected to provide insights into how phytoplankton respond to shifts in environmental changes, contributing to a more nuanced understanding of their role in High-Latitude Northern Oceans ecosystems.

Raphael Savelli

and 10 more

While the preindustrial ocean was assumed to be in equilibrium with the atmosphere, the modern ocean is a carbon sink, resulting from natural variability and anthropogenic perturbations, such as fossil fuel emissions and changes in riverine exports over the past two centuries. Here we use a suite of sensitivity experiments based on the ECCO-Darwin global-ocean biogeochemistry model to evaluate the response of air-sea CO2 flux and carbon cycling to present-day lateral fluxes of carbon, nitrogen, and silica. We generate a daily export product by combining point-source freshwater discharge from JRA55-do with the Global NEWS 2 watershed model, accounting for lateral fluxes from 5171 watersheds worldwide. From 2000 to 2019, carbon exports increase CO2 outgassing by 0.22 Pg C yr-1 via the solubility pump, while nitrogen exports increase the ocean sink by 0.17 Pg C yr-1 due to phytoplankton fertilization. On regional scales, exports to the Tropical Atlantic and Arctic Ocean are dominated by organic carbon, which originates from terrestrial vegetation and peats and increases CO2 outgassing (+10 and +20%, respectively). In contrast, Southeast Asia is dominated by nitrogen from anthropogenic sources, such as agriculture and pollution, leading to increased CO2 uptake (+7%). Our results demonstrate that the magnitude and composition of riverine exports, which are determined in part from upstream watersheds and anthropogenic perturbations, substantially impact present-day regional-to-global-ocean carbon cycling. Ultimately, this work stresses that lateral fluxes must be included in ocean biogeochemistry and Earth System Models to better constrain the transport of carbon, nutrients, and metals across the land-ocean-aquatic-continuum.

Xiaolong Yu

and 4 more

The future wide-swath satellite altimeters, such as the upcoming Surface Water Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission, will provide instantaneous 2D measurements of sea level down to the spatial scale of O(10 km) for the first time. However, the validity of the geostrophic assumption for estimating surface currents from these instantaneous maps is not known a priori. In this study, we quantify the accuracy of geostrophy for the estimation of surface currents from a knowledge of instantaneous sea level using the hourly snapshots from a tide- and eddy-resolving global numerical simulation. Geostrophic balance is found to be the leading-order balance in frontal regions characterized by large kinetic energy, such as the western boundary currents and the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. Everywhere else, geostrophic approximation ceases to be a useful predictor of ocean velocity, which may result in significant high-frequency contamination of geostrophically computed velocities by fast variability (e.g., inertial and higher). As expected, the validity of geostrophy is shown to improve at low frequencies (typically$<$0.5 cpd). Global estimates of the horizontal momentum budget reveal that the tropical and mid-latitude regions where geostrophic balance fails are dominated by fast variability and turbulent stress divergence terms rather than higher-order geostrophic terms. These findings indicate that the estimation of velocity from geostrophy applied on SWOT instantaneous sea level maps may be challenging away from energetic areas.