Erik Behrens

and 1 more

The location of the Subtropical Front (STF), the boundary between Subtropical and Subantarctic Water in the Southern Ocean is proposed to be controlled by the strength and location of the Southern Hemisphere westerly winds. We use a hydrodynamic hindcast model and recent observations to test if changes in the westerly winds can cause meridional shifts in the STF over interannual to decadal time scales by modulating local Ekman transport. We find that increased, or northward, shifted westerly winds lead to an enhanced northward Ekman transport over large parts of the Southern Ocean, resulting in a northward shift in the STF. Conversely for weaker or southward shifted westerly winds. Regions with strong eddy variability, such as western boundary current systems of the Agulhas and East Australian Current behave differently, as the Sverdrup balance causes an opposite shift. In these regions an increase in westerly winds lead to a southward shift in the STF. A southward shift of STF has been observed between 2004-2019. However, the shift is smaller than the latitudinal shifts in the location of the zero wind stress curl and maximum westerly winds (-0.4° latitude/decade). This discrepancy is due to positive Ekman trends resulting from the intensification of the westerly winds, which oppose the southward migration. Changes in the Ekman transport and the overall southward shift of the STF have also resulted in an observed positive trend in chlorophyll-a concentrations south of the STF, which could have ramifications for the biological pump and carbon uptake in the Southern Ocean.
During Marine Isotope Stage 3 (MIS-3; 57–29 ka) Antarctic ice cores reveal a glacial climate state punctuated by millennial-scale warming events and pulses of CO2. Changes in iron-fertilised export production and ocean circulation/upwelling, interpreted from South Atlantic sediment cores, suggest that the Southern Ocean is a conduit for the storage and release of CO2 from the deep ocean. However, it is unclear whether this occurs throughout the Southern Ocean as these processes have not previously been investigated in the southwest Pacific . Here we describe localised iron limitation linked to glaciation changes in New Zealand, which reduced export production during early MIS-3 (60–48 ka) and caused decreases/increases in export production during late MIS-3 (48–29 ka) millennial-scale warming/cooling. Consistent decreases in foraminifera-bound δ15N during all MIS-3 warming events may reflect changes in the supply of nitrate to the subantarctic Pacific, possibly from increased wind-driven upwelling in the Antarctic and northward eddy-driven transport and/or shifting SO fronts. Concomitant decreases in bottom water oxygen and increases in the 14C age of deep waters suggest that old, nutrient-rich waters influenced upper circumpolar deep water in the southwest Pacific during warming events. This signature may reflect an expansion of Pacific Deep Water into the Southern Ocean as Southern Ocean overturning strengthens. Iron-limitation of export production, the expansion of Pacific Deep water, and increased wind-driven upwelling would all work to contribute to increasing atmospheric CO2 through reduced drawdown, and increased outgassing from the Pacific carbon reservoir during the millennial-scale warming events of MIS-3.