Michael Weimer

and 7 more

Many chemical processes depend non-linearly on temperature. Gravity-wave-induced temperature perturbations have been previously shown to affect atmospheric chemistry, but accounting for this process in chemistry-climate models has been a challenge because many gravity waves have scales smaller than the typical model resolution. Here, we present a method to account for subgrid-scale orographic gravity-wave-induced temperature perturbations on the global scale for the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM). The method consists of deriving the temperature perturbation amplitude $\hat{T}$ consistent with the model’s subgrid-scale gravity wave parametrization, and imposing $\hat{T}$ as a sinusiodal temperature perturbation in the model’s chemistry solver. Because of limitations in the gravity wave parameterization, scaling factors may be necessary to maintain a realistic wave amplitude. We explore scaling factors between 0.6 and 1 based on comparisons to altitude-dependent $\hat{T}$ distributions in two observational datasets. We probe the impact on the chemistry from the grid-point to global scales, and show that the parametrization is able to represent mountain wave events as reported by previous literature. The gravity waves for example lead to increased surface area densities of stratospheric aerosols. This in turn increases chlorine activation, with impacts on the associated chemical composition. We obtain large local changes in some chemical species (e.g., active chlorine, NOx, N2O5) which are likely to be important for comparisons to airborne or satellite observations, but find that the changes to ozone loss are more modest. This approach enables the chemistry-climate modeling community to account for subgrid-scale gravity wave temperature perturbations in a consistent way.

Xiaoning Wu

and 3 more

High-resolution climate models (~28 km grid spacing) can permit realistic simulations of tropical cyclones (TCs), thus enabling their investigation in relation to the climate system. On the global scale, previous works have demonstrated that the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) version 5 presents a reasonable TC climatology under prescribed present-day (1980-2005) forcing. However, for the Western North Pacific (WNP) region, known biases in simulated TC genesis frequency and location under-represent the basin’s dominant share in observation. This study addresses these model biases in WNP by evaluating WNP TCs in a decadal simulation, and exploring potential improvements through nudging experiments. Among the major environmental controls of TC genesis, the lack of mid-level moisture is identified as the leading cause of the deficit in simulated WNP TC genesis over the Pacific Warm Pool. Subsequent seasonal experiments explore the effect of constraining the large-scale environment on TC development by nudging WNP temperature field towards reanalysis at various strengths. Temperature nudging elicits significant response in TC genesis and intensity development, as well as in moisture and convection over the Warm Pool. These responses are sensitive to the choice of nudging timescale. Overall, the nudging experiments demonstrate that improvements in the large-scale environment can lead to improvements in simulated TCs. The verification of the environmental controls for simulated TC genesis suggests future model developments in relation to model physics. The potential improvements will contribute to the understanding of how the mean state of current or future climates may give rise to extremes such as TCs.

Xiaoning Wu

and 4 more

Climate models at high resolution (~25 km horizontal grid spacing) can permit realistic simulations of tropical cyclones (TCs), thus promising the investigation of these high-impact extreme events under present and future climates. On the global scale, simulations with the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5) present a reasonable TC climatology under prescribed present-day (1980-2005) sea surface temperature (SST) and greenhouse gas (GHG) forcing. However, for the disaster-prone western North Pacific (WNP) region, biases in TC genesis frequency and location persist across various configurations. The biases under-represent the basin’s share in global TC climatology, complicating the fidelity of future projections. This study addresses these model biases in WNP by evaluating the large-scale environmental controls of TC genesis in CAM5 with two aerosol configurations. Across the two configurations, the lack of mid-level moisture is consistently identified as the leading cause of the deficit in simulated WNP TC genesis. This lack of mid-level moisture in WNP TC main develop region is potentially linked to previously identified deficits in Pacific warm pool precipitation at high horizontal resolution in CAM5, as well as biases in the East Asian Summer Monsoon circulation and moisture transport. Additional CAM5 simulation experiments will explore the effect of moisture nudging on the large-scale environment and subsequent TC genesis, tracks, and intensity development. For a chosen year, simulations covering WNP peak TC season (July - October) under otherwise identical forcing (SST, GHG etc.) will be run with and without nudging the specific humidity field towards MERRA-2 reanalysis. The insight into the biases of basin-scale TC simulation under the present climate and potential improvements will help reduce the uncertainty in future-climate projections, in the interest of disaster risk management.

Julio T. Bacmeister

and 11 more

We examine the response of the Community Earth System Model versions 1 and 2 (CESM1 and CESM2) to abrupt quadrupling of atmospheric CO$_2$ concentrations (4xCO2) and to 1% annually increasing CO2 concentrations (1%CO2). Different estimates of equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) for CESM1 and CESM2 are presented. All estimates show that the sensitivity of CESM2 has increased by 1.5K or more over that of CESM1. At the same time the transient climate response (TCR) of CESM1 and CESM2 derived from 1%CO2 experiments has not changed significantly - 2.1K in CESM1 and 2.0K in CESM2. Increased initial forcing as well as stronger shortwave radiation feedbacks are responsible for the increase in ECS seen in CESM2. A decomposition of regional radiation feedbacks and their contribution to global feedbacks shows that the Southern Ocean plays a key role in the overall behavior of 4xCO2 experiments, accounting for about 50% of the total shortwave feedback in both CESM1 and CESM2. The Southern Ocean is also responsible for around half of the increase in shortwave feedback between CESM1 and CESM2, with a comparable contribution arising over tropical ocean. Experiments using a thermodynamic slab-ocean model (SOM) yield estimates of ECS that are in remarkable agreement with those from fully-coupled earth system model (ESM) experiments for the same level of CO2 increase. Finally, we show that the similarity of TCR in CESM1 and CESM2 masks significant regional differences in warming that occur in the 1%CO2 experiments for each model.