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Features associated with contagiousness among COVID-19 cases in Shanghai, China
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  • Dechuan Kong,
  • Qiwen Fang,
  • Huanyu Wu,
  • Linjie Hu,
  • Abram Wagner,
  • Yihan Lu,
  • Yaxu Zheng,
  • Xiaohuan Gong,
  • Yiyi Zhu,
  • Bihong Jin,
  • Wenjia Xiao,
  • Shenghua Mao,
  • Sheng Lin,
  • Ruobing Han,
  • Xiao Yu,
  • Peng Cui,
  • Chenyan Jiang,
  • Hao Pan,
  • Xiaodong Sun
Dechuan Kong
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Qiwen Fang
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Huanyu Wu
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Linjie Hu
Fudan University School of Public Health
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Abram Wagner
University of Michigan
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Yihan Lu
Fudan University School of Public Health
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Yaxu Zheng
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Xiaohuan Gong
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Yiyi Zhu
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Bihong Jin
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Wenjia Xiao
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Shenghua Mao
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Sheng Lin
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Ruobing Han
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Xiao Yu
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Peng Cui
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Chenyan Jiang
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Hao Pan
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Xiaodong Sun
Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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Abstract

Background: Little is known about the characteristics of those who transmit SARS-CoV-2 infection vs those who do not, but this information could inform disease control policies. This study described the features of clusters in the first wave of COVID-19 in Shanghai and compared contagiousness by clinical and health care risk factors. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study of cases in Shanghai in January and February 2020, cases with successive generations were considered to be “contagious.” Characteristics of contagious and non-contagious cases were compared in log-binomial models that also adjusted for age and sex. Results: Between January 21 and February 17, 2020, 333 cases of COVID-19 were reported in Shanghai across 28 known infection chains. Contagiousness was higher among cases with a sore throat (risk ratio [RR]: 3.41, 95% CI: 1.59, 7.35, P=0.0051), and those with heart disease (RR: 2.06, 95% CI: 0.72, 5.90). Delays in diagnosis were also associated with higher risk of contagiousness. Having ≥2 medical visits before diagnosis was associated with 4.46 times higher risk of contagiousness (95% CI: 2.03, 9.83, P=0.0002), and there was a non-significant increase in risk with increasing numbers of days between disease onset and isolation (for each day, RR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.16, P=0.1734). Conclusions: Individuals with mild COVID-19 symptoms in the upper respiratory tract may still be contagious, and such individuals should be prioritized for early diagnosis and isolation to limit further chains of transmission.