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Spatiotemporal Variability of Flash Drought in the Continental United States
  • Kyle Lesinger,
  • Di Tian
Kyle Lesinger
Auburn University

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Di Tian
Auburn University
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Abstract

Flash droughts are a recently recognized extreme climate phenomena that occur at the subseasonal timescale and develop with sudden onset and rapid intensity, which have significant socio-environmental impacts on agriculture, ecosystem, and water resources. However, the spatial and temporal variability of flash droughts in the continental United States (CONUS) are still not well understood. In this study, we characterize flash drought events using a novel evaporative demand flash drought (EDFD) index as well as a soil moisture flash drought (SMFD) index at the weekly timescale between September 1981 and December 2018. Hierarchical clustering divided CONUS into different clusters where SMFDs occur synchronously over space and time. The results show that flash droughts occur in all seasons and regions in CONUS with increasing trends in EDFDs (0.07 > tau > 0.28), but not equal trends in SMFDs (-0.12 > tau > 0.08). Periodic short-term behavior between EDFDs and SMPDs was identified in all clusters but more importantly long-term oscillatory behavior is identified between the two indexes in all clusters except the Northwest US. Our research into the spatiotemporal variability of flash droughts using both the EDFD index and SMPD index displays that CONUS is still at risk for increased flash drought events in the future to come.