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Regional and Seasonal Trends in Tropical Ozone from SHADOZ Profiles: Reference for Models and Satellite Products
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  • Anne M. Thompson,
  • Ryan Michael Stauffer,
  • Jacquelyn Cecile Witte,
  • Debra E. Kollonige,
  • Krzysztof Wargan,
  • Jerald R. Ziemke,
  • Krzysztof Wargan
Anne M. Thompson
NASA-GODDARD, NASA-GODDARD
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Ryan Michael Stauffer
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
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Jacquelyn Cecile Witte
National Center for Atmospheric Research, National Center for Atmospheric Research
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Debra E. Kollonige
NASA-gsfc, NASA-gsfc

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Krzysztof Wargan
NASA-GODDARD
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Jerald R. Ziemke
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
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Krzysztof Wargan
NASA-GODDARD
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Abstract

Understanding lowermost stratosphere (LMS) ozone variability is an important topic in the trends and climate assessment communities because of feedbacks among changing temperature, dynamics and ozone. LMS evaluations are usually based on satellite observations. Free tropospheric (FT) ozone assessments typically rely on profiles from commercial aircraft. Ozonesonde measurements constitute an independent dataset encompassing both LMS and FT. We used Southern Hemisphere Additional Ozonesondes (SHADOZ) data (5.8°N to 14°S) from 1998-2019 in the Goddard Multiple Linear Regression model to analyze monthly mean FT and LMS ozone changes across five well-distributed tropical sites. Our findings: (1) both FT (5-15 km) and LMS (15-20 km) ozone trends show marked seasonal variability. (2) All stations exhibit FT ozone increases in February-May (up to 15%/decade) when the frequency of convectively-driven waves have changed. (3) After May, monthly ozone changes are both positive and negative, leading to mean trends of +(1-4)%/decade, depending on station. (4) LMS ozone losses reach (4-9)%/decade mid-year, correlating with an increase in TH as derived from SHADOZ radiosonde data. (5) When the upper FT and LMS are defined by tropopause-relative coordinates, the LMS ozone trends all become insignificant. Thus, the 20-year decline in tropical LMS ozone reported in recent satellite-based studies likely signifies a perturbed tropopause rather than chemical depletion. The SHADOZ-derived ozone changes highlight regional and seasonal variability across the tropics and define a new reference for evaluating changes derived from models and satellite products over the 1998 to 2019 period.
27 Nov 2021Published in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres volume 126 issue 22. 10.1029/2021JD034691