Fig. 26: Seasonal phase locking of temperature anomalies in the Niño3.4 region at the end of the 21st century (2071–2100) and for the period 1870–2014. Black dots give the monthly standard deviation of the observed Niño3.4 index for 1870–2014 (Rayner et al., 2003). Red lines denote the standard deviations of the simulated Niño3.4 indices for the five ssp370 ensemble members. The range of the model results is shaded in light blue (1870–2014, as in Fig. 7) and in light red (2071–2100).