Carol J Friedland

and 8 more

Ayat Al Assi

and 4 more

Evaluating flood risk is an essential component of understanding and increasing community resilience. A robust approach for quantifying flood risk in terms of average annual loss (AAL) in dollars at the community level is needed to provide valuable information for stakeholder decision-making. This research develops a computational framework to evaluate AAL at the community level by owner/occupant type (i.e., homeowner, landlord, and tenant) for increasing first-floor heights. The AAL values are calculated here by numerically integrating loss-exceedance probability distributions to represent economic annual flood risk to the building, contents, and use. A case study for a census block in Jefferson Parish, Louisiana, reveals that homeowners bear a mean AAL of $4,390 at the 100-year flood elevation (E_100), compared with $2,960, and $1,590 for landlords and tenants, respectively, because the homeowner incurs losses to building, contents, and use, rather than only two of the three, as for the landlord and tenant. The results of this case study show that increasing first-floor heights reduces AAL proportionately for each owner/occupant type, and that two feet of additional elevation above E_100 may provide the most economically advantageous benefit. The modeled results suggest that Hazus Multi-Hazard (Hazus-MH) output underestimates the AAL by 11% for building and 15% for contents. Application of this technique to the community level while partitioning the owner/occupant types will improve planning for improved resilience and assessment of impacts attributable to the costly flood hazard.

Ayat Al Assi

and 4 more

Floods inflict significant damage even outside the 100-year floodplain. Thus, restricting flood risk analysis to the 100-year floodplain (special flood hazard area (SFHA) in the U.S.A.) is misleading. Flood risk outside the SFHA is often underestimated because of minimal flood-related insurance requirements and regulations and sparse flood depth data. This study proposes a systematic approach to predict flood risk for a single-family home using average annual loss (AAL) in the shaded X Zone – the area immediately outside the SFHA (i.e., the 500-year floodplain), which lies between the 1.0- and 0.2-percent annual flood probability. To further inform flood mitigation strategy, annual flood risk reduction with additional elevation above an initial first-floor height () is estimated. The proposed approach generates synthetic flood parameters, quantifies AAL for a hypothetical slab-on–grade, single-family home with varying attributes and scenarios above the slab-on-grade elevation, and compares flood risk for two areas using the synthetic flood parameters vs. an existing spatial interpolation-estimated flood parameters. Results reveal a median AAL in the shaded X Zone of 0.13 and 0.17 percent of replacement cost value () for a one-story, single-family home without and with basement, respectively, at and 500-year flood depth < 1 foot. Elevating homes one and four feet above substantially mitigates this risk, generating savings of 0.07–0.18 and 0.09–0.23 percent of for a one-story, single-family home without and with basement, respectively. These results enhance understanding of flood risk and the benefits of elevating homes above in the shaded X Zone.