H1. Infection risk increases with proximity to infected individuals due
to higher chances of contact
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P1.1: positive and strongest effect of the proportion of infected
individuals in the ’high-contact’ (0-2km)
P1.2: positive but weaker effects of the proportion of infected
individuals in ’medium-contact’ (2-5km) and ’low-contact’ (5-10km) zones
P1.3: no effect of the proportion of infected individuals in the
’no-contact’ (>10km) zone
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H2. Infection risk increases with relatedness to infected individuals
due to kin-based social structure
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P2.1: positive effect of relatedness to infected individuals across
contact zones (0-10km)
P2.2: no effect of relatedness to infected individuals in the
’no-contact’ zone (>10km)
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H3. Effect of relatedness on infection risk will decline with distance
to infected individuals due to social structure and spatial
clustering
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P3.1: positive effect of relatedness and proportion of infected
individuals in the ’high-contact’ and potentially ’medium-contact’ zones
P3.2: positive effect of the proportion of infected individuals and no
effect of relatedness in the ’low-contact’ zone
P3.3 no effects of relatedness and proportion of infected individuals in
the ’no-contact’ zone
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