Table 2: Selected GLMM models for each chorotype with overall best performance in bold. Model performance was assessed based on AICc, BIC, R²m, R²c and loocv pseudo-R². In each of these models, variables with p-values higher than 0.1 or VIF higher than 2.5 were removed. Meaning of model variables: S-A = spatial autocorrelation; prov = phytogeographical province; logApr = logarithm of current area;Dpr = current shortest distance to the mainland; dDmed = increase in distance to the mainland compared to median sea level;dAmed = insular area loss compared to median sea level;typemed = island type (land-bridge island or true island) based on median sea level; dDlgm = increase in distance to the mainland compared to LGM sea level; dAlgm = insular area loss compared to LGM sea level; typelgm = island type based on LGM sea level.

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