A phased approach to unlocking during the COVID-19 pandemic –
Lessons from trend analysis
Mike Stedman1, Mark Davies1, Mark
Lunt2, Arpana
Verma3, Simon G. Anderson4,5, Adrian
H Heald6,7
1Res Consortium, Andover, Hampshire;2University of Manchester, Division of Musculoskeletal
and Dermatological Sciences; 3Population Health,
Health Services Research and Primary Care, The University of Manchester,
Manchester, United Kingdom 4University of the West
Indies, Cave Hill Campus Barbados; 5Division of Cardiovascular Sciences,
Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, The University of Manchester,
Manchester, United Kingdom; 6Department of Diabetes
and Endocrinology, Salford; 7The Faculty of Biology,
Medicine and Health and Manchester Academic Health Sciences Centre,
University of Manchester, UK
Key Words: COVID-19, Unlock, Epidemiology, Strategy
Word Count: 3010
Number of figures: 4
Corresponding Author: Dr Adrian Heald, Department of Diabetes and
Endocrinology, Salford Royal Hospital, Salford UK M6 HD
Telephone: +44 161 206 5157
Email: adrian.heald@manchester.ac.uk
Abstract