loading page

The relationship between the global mean deep-sea and surface temperature during the Early Eocene
  • +17
  • Barbara Goudsmit,
  • Angelique Lansu,
  • Michiel Baatsen,
  • Anna S. von der Heydt,
  • Niels Jonathan de Winter,
  • Yurui Zhang,
  • Ayako Abe-Ouchi,
  • Agatha Margaretha De Boer,
  • Wing-Le Chan,
  • Yannick Donnadieu,
  • David Hutchinson,
  • Gregor Knorr,
  • Jean-Baptiste Ladant,
  • Polina A Morozova,
  • Igor Niezgodzki,
  • Sebastian Steinig,
  • Aradhna Tripati,
  • Zhongshi Zhang,
  • Jiang Zhu,
  • Martin Ziegler
Barbara Goudsmit
Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

Author Profile
Angelique Lansu
Open Universiteit, Open Universiteit
Author Profile
Michiel Baatsen
Utrecht University, Utrecht University
Author Profile
Anna S. von der Heydt
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht, Utrecht University
Author Profile
Niels Jonathan de Winter
Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Vrije Universiteit Brussel
Author Profile
Yurui Zhang
Xiamen University, Xiamen University
Author Profile
Ayako Abe-Ouchi
University of Tokyo, University of Tokyo
Author Profile
Agatha Margaretha De Boer
Stockholm University, Stockholm University
Author Profile
Wing-Le Chan
University of Tokyo, University of Tokyo
Author Profile
Yannick Donnadieu
Centre national de la recherche scientifique, Centre national de la recherche scientifique
Author Profile
David Hutchinson
University of New South Wales, University of New South Wales
Author Profile
Gregor Knorr
AWI Bremerhaven, AWI Bremerhaven
Author Profile
Jean-Baptiste Ladant
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement
Author Profile
Polina A Morozova
Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences
Author Profile
Igor Niezgodzki
ING PAN - Institute of Geological Sciences Polish Academy of Sciences, ING PAN - Institute of Geological Sciences Polish Academy of Sciences
Author Profile
Sebastian Steinig
University of Bristol, University of Bristol
Author Profile
Aradhna Tripati
University of California,
Los Angeles, University of California,
Los Angeles
Author Profile
Zhongshi Zhang
Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research
Author Profile
Jiang Zhu
National Center for Atmospheric Research, National Center for Atmospheric Research
Author Profile
Martin Ziegler
Utrecht University, Utrecht University
Author Profile

Abstract

Our current understanding of global mean near-surface (land and sea) air temperature (GMSAT) during the Cenozoic era relies on paleo-proxy estimates of deep-sea temperature combined with assumed relationships between global mean deep-sea temperature (GMDST), global mean sea-surface temperature (GMSST), and GMSAT. The validity of these assumptions is essential in our understanding of past climate states such as the Early Eocene Climate Optimum hothouse climate (EECO, 56–48 Ma). The EECO remains relevant today, because EECO-like CO2 levels are possible in the 22nd century under continued high CO2 emissions. We analyze the relationship between the three global temperature indicators for the EECO using 25 different millennia-long model simulations with varying CO2 levels from the Deep-Time Model Intercomparison Project (DeepMIP). The model simulations show limited spatial variability in deep-sea temperature, indicating that local temperature estimates can be regarded representative of GMDST. Linear regression analysis indicates that compared to GMSST, both GMDST and GMSAT respond more strongly to changes in atmospheric CO2 by factors of 1.18 and 1.17, respectively. Consequently, this model-based analysis validates the assumption that changes in GMDST can be used to estimate changes in GMSAT during the EECO. Paleo-proxies of GMDST, GMSST, and GMSAT during EECO show the best fit with model simulations having an atmospheric CO2 level of 1,680 ppm, which matches paleo-proxies of atmospheric CO2 during EECO. Similar analyses of other past climate states are needed to examine whether these results are robust throughout the Cenozoic, providing insight into the long-term future warming under various shared socioeconomic pathways.
Mar 2023Published in Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology volume 38 issue 3. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022PA004532