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Disentangling the mechanisms of ENSO response to tropical volcanic eruptions
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  • Francesco S.R. Pausata,
  • Yang Zhao,
  • Davide Zanchettin,
  • Rodrigo Caballero,
  • David S. Battisti
Francesco S.R. Pausata
University of Quebec in Montreal

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Yang Zhao
Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences
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Davide Zanchettin
University Ca'Foscari of Venice
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Rodrigo Caballero
Stockholm University
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David S. Battisti
University of Washington
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Abstract

Stratospheric volcanic aerosol can have major impacts on global climate. Despite a consensus among studies on an El Niño–like response in the first or second post-eruption year, the mechanisms that trigger a change in the state of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) following volcanic eruptions are still debated. Here, we shed light on the processes that govern the ENSO response to tropical volcanic eruptions through a series of sensitivity experiments with an Earth System Model where a uniform stratospheric volcanic aerosol loading is imposed over different parts of the tropics. Three tropical mechanisms are tested: the “ocean dynamical thermostat” (ODT); the cooling of the Maritime Continent; and the cooling of tropical northern Africa (NAFR). We find that the NAFR mechanism plays the largest role, while the ODT mechanism is absent in our simulations as La Niña-like rather than El-Niño-like conditions develop following a uniform radiative forcing over the equatorial Pacific.