loading page

Record-breaking Meiyu rainfall around Yangtze River in 2020 regulated by the subseasonal phase transition of North Atlantic Oscillation
  • +2
  • Boqi Liu,
  • Yuhan Yan,
  • Congwen Zhu,
  • Shuangmei Ma,
  • Jianying Li
Boqi Liu
Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences
Author Profile
Yuhan Yan
Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences
Author Profile
Congwen Zhu
State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, and Institute of Climate System,Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

Author Profile
Shuangmei Ma
Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences
Author Profile
Jianying Li
China University of Geosciences, Wuhan
Author Profile

Abstract

In 2020, the long-persisting Meiyu season around the Yangtze River (YR) started in early-June and ended in mid­–late-July. Its accumulated precipitation amount broke the record since 1961. We showed that the sequential warm and cold Meiyu front regulated by the North Atlantic Oscillation was responsible for this record-breaking Meiyu rainfall. From 11 to 25 June with the positive NAO, the interaction between South Asian High (SAH) and western Pacific subtropical high maintained a warm front to strengthen the rainband north of YR. Afterward, the coupling between SAH and mid-latitude Mongolian Cyclone induced a cold front, which retreated the rainband to the south of YR from 30 June to 13 July with the negative NAO. Although the ECMWF S2S successfully predicted the warm-front-related Meiyu rainband, it failed to forecast the Meiyu rainband in the cold-front period, suggesting a great challenge of the S2S forecast on Meiyu rainfall.
28 Nov 2020Published in Geophysical Research Letters volume 47 issue 22. 10.1029/2020GL090342